Statistics NZ has provisionally estimated the net inflow of migrants in the year to July at 52,722, plus or minus a margin of 1600 up or down.
Population indicators manager Tehseen Islam said in today’s release of the calculations: “Annual net migration has fluctuated between 49,000 and 55,000 since the year ended October 2017.”
The estimates show arrivals at 149,000 (± 1,500), departures at 96,300 (± 1,300), and the net gain
52,700, up from 48,709 in the previous 12 months.
The timing of the calculation makes a difference. The 2018 estimate was at an early stage of Statistics NZ’s new outcomes-based method, under which estimates are revised monthly for several months. Under the previous intentions-based method, no revisions were produced.
Today’s statistics release focus was on the figures for February, now finalised. The Statistics NZ view seems to be that you are objectionably abnormal if you want something more recent.
Somewhere in the depths of the tables there are some figures on regional migration, which I’ll try to hunt out this afternoon, along with figures for the month of July as well as for 12 months.
Attribution: Statistics NZ.