Statistics NZ’s monthly migration figures, out today, show a rise in net immigration in March compared to March last year – 4468 (3396) – and an annual net inflow of 56,137 (50,628).
That’s a higher annual net inflow than in any monthly report back to September 2017. The counts for the 3 winter months last year (June-August) got below 50,000 (June 49,409), but the tally has risen every month since then.
Statistics NZ’s monthly revisions of migration figures make comparisons hard to believe. A month ago the 12-month rolling tally of net migration to February would have been 5500 higher than the latest figure, to March. But the revised figure to February is, instead, 1000 lower than the first count to March.
So, after a sharp chop when Stats NZ moved from the old system to the new with its count to November 2018 – from an intentions-based method to an outcomes-based measure – the trend over the 5 months to March seems to have been (provisionally) up.
Apart from changing the method of counting, Stats NZ is going back over the next 4 months to check if migrants are actually where they thought they’d be, producing provisional counts in the interim.
The old system used to include regional figures, but Stats NZ hasn’t updated those yet under the new system.
Stats NZ tables: International migration: March 2019
15 April 2019: Migrant influx rising again, Auckland up where it was 2½ years ago
12 April 2019: Latest count shows migrant inflow rising
18 March 2019: Now the migrant inflow is rising again
15 February 2019: Migrant inflow up as exit count adjusted down
25 January 2019: November net migrant inflow down 40%, annual rate down 19% as new measure kicks in
Attribution: Statistics NZ.