New Zealand’s net inflow of migrants slipped by another 500 from July to August to 63,300/year, a decline of 9100/year since the peak in July 2017.
Statistics NZ said on Friday 129,100 migrants arrived over the last 12 months and 65,800 left.
More Kiwis have headed to Australia, after that figure declined from a net exodus of nearly 40,000 in the August 2015 year to 3651 in 2016. The net exit rate of Kiwis to Australia rose from 4967 in the 12 months to August 2017, to 6105 in the last 12 months. Departures fell to 20,204 2 years ago and have risen over the last 2 years to 20,918. Returns home climbed very gradually over 3 years to reach 16,553 in the August 2016 year, then slid over the last 2 years to reach 14,813 in the latest 12 months.
Non-NZ citizen arrivals slipped by about 2700 in the last year, while exits rose by 5150. Non-citizen arrivals fell just 4 short of 100,000 in the 12 months to August 2017, then slipped to 97,331 in the latest 12 months. Exits got down below 22,000 in 2014 but have risen more sharply in the last 2 years – to 26,460 in 2017 and to 31,613 in the latest 12 months.
The bald statistics:
Net migrant inflow August: 4629 (5120)
Net migrant inflow August year: 63,288 (72,072; the peak was 72,402 in the 12 months to last July)
Migrants into Auckland in August: 4423 (4683)
Migrants into Auckland in August year: 57,329 (59,700)
Net Auckland inflow in August: 2274 (2754)
Net Auckland inflow in August year: 32,095 (36,796)
Net trans-Tasman flows in August: net outflow of 127 (inflow of 9); NZ citizens net outflow 428 (333), non-citizens net inflow 301 (342)
Net trans-Tasman flows in August year: 1216 net outflow (226 inflow); NZ citizens 6105 net outflow (4967), non-citizens net inflow 4889 (5193)
Overall net flows in August: NZ citizens net outflow 526 (330), non-citizens net inflow 5155 (5450)
Overall net flows in August year: NZ citizens net outflow 2430 (1464), non-citizens net inflow 65,718 (73,536).
Changes to travel statistics
Once travellers leaving New Zealand no longer need to complete a passenger departure card – starting in November – Statistics NZ will adopt in full its outcomes-based measure of migration, first released in May 2017.
That has raised a question of meaningful statistics. Statistics NZ said that, to maintain timely statistics, it was developing provisional migration estimates. That started with early results published in August. Statistics NZ will provide more information on the statistical model to produce provisional estimates in early October.
Attribution: Statistics NZ.