An unexpected report: To assess economic shifts internationally, in recent years I spent more time watching political, financial & other activity in places most influential for New Zealand.
That meant the US in particular – the Federal Reserve, the Wall St indices & US Treasury chart of national debt (the figure today is “a few billion” past $US26.7 trillion) among regular indicators, and more recently the political machinations which I see destroying the fabric of a society which thought it knew everything and knew everything was in its place, including those who knew their place was at the bottom.
President Donald Trump’s opponents have been helping him play the game of Destruction with a capital D, starting with the Black Lives Matter movement’s rise in prominence that was enabled by the most callous indifference to yet another black citizen’s death at the hands of a policeman – a guardian of the state.
I expected Trump’s back office manipulators to use this occasion to continue the deliberate creation of division, ultimately aimed at his re-election – or other continuation of his presidency – and I figured at least 2 more major divisive actions would be needed to escalate the state of unrest.
As Trump put one of those further divisive actions in place yesterday, the way is almost clear for him to take one of a few options:
- declare a state of emergency and thus continuation of his presidency
- ensure the upheaval worsens over the next 2 months, enabling him to blame his opponents and thus open the way to further divisive actions likely including the use of increased military force, and
- as a consequence of the second option, enabling him to take greater control of voting, including voting by post, and that leading to a further option of preventing handover.
He’s been enabled in this course by his opponents’ taking predictable actions, which helps his back office team prepare the next range of disruption.
The choice was to ignore ways to ease tension
The Black Lives Matter movement’s protests would have petered out if Trump had wanted them to – protest organisers can’t normally ensure maximum protest levels of marching including occasional misdemeanour for months on end, because usually controls will be installed, an abject apology will be voiced, people in authority will make promises to deal in some way with the protest cause, and the protesters will get tired of seemingly achieving nothing, or hungry, or both.
Where divisions might have been eased, federal forces have stormed in, ensuring heightened division between states & cities on the one hand, and federal controllers on the other.
Meanwhile, various federal departments have continued to reverse course, such as revising regulations to allow oil companies to renew exploration on conservation lands. Many federal departments still haven’t had positions filled since the departure at the last presidential election of Obama nominees, thus preventing numerous organs of the state from functioning in ways intended by Trump’s predecessors.
These dysfunctions have ensured the ability of the “deep state” to function as normal has been severely curbed.
Deliberate step towards autocracy
Yesterday’s action was a presidential decree aimed at cities & states where, in my book, Trump has encouraged division, escalating protest by introducing federal forces and encouraging action by his supporters, many of them armed.
That decree – Memorandum on Reviewing Funding to State and Local Government Recipients That Are Permitting Anarchy, Violence, and Destruction in American Cities – : “My Administration will not allow Federal tax dollars to fund cities that allow themselves to deteriorate into lawless zones.” – blames states & cities for the disruption which can clearly be traced back to divisive Trump policies, actions & inactions.
This will ensure about 4 months of defunding for some parts of the country led by Trump’s opponents, perhaps increasing his potential vote in those areas and certainly hardening support among the more rabid supporters of his style.
In my book, it’s a deliberate, well planned step towards autocratic rule. And that, in my book, will be a step towards a meltdown: widespread anarchy & violence, separatist actions, private & government militias.
Way beyond the Trump norm of being somebody else’s fault, this course seems likely to me, but with no good reason to have encouraged it or for those in other positions of power not to prepare against it.
You would hardly expect such a course to succeed, even with the imposition of military force, and it’s even harder to make any sense of such a course.
One reason for it is to reduce the power of the deep state – the people within government & in the community who hold positions of control over how life goes. At the same time, though, sections of the deep state would gain far greater control.
I’ve often thought along anarchist lines, while knowing a society can’t function that way. These Trump actions are the instigation of anarchy intended to lead to autocracy. They may succeed as an anarchistic birthday present to me on Tuesday 3 November (also the US presidential election day), but I don’t imagine they’d last the full week.
You might think it’s my imagination that’s run riot. If so, thoughtful comments respected.
The presidential decree, 2 September 2020: Memorandum on Reviewing Funding to State and Local Government Recipients That Are Permitting Anarchy, Violence, and Destruction in American Cities
ABC News (US), 4 September 2020: ‘We’re putting them on notice today’: Trump threatens to defund Democratic-led cities
CBC (Canadian Broadcasting Corp), 8 August 2020: Trump bypasses Congress, signs executive actions extending some coronavirus benefits
The Guardian, 20 July 2020: Trump consults Bush torture lawyer on how to skirt law and rule by decree
The Guardian, 23 August 2019: I hereby order’: Trump mocked for highly formal, meaningless decree
I turned to a post on this presidential decree by chance, as I was unsubscribing from another round of email senders.
I posted my last property report newsletter on Monday, 31 August. This is the only update to the Bob Dey Property Report website since then, and it’s hardly about property, though I think the games – if you call murderous intent games – being played as I’ve outlined will influence life around the globe.
Meanwhile, I have a party looking at taking over the website & newsletter, with a couple more weeks of working on a proposal.
Attribution: Bob Dey, opinion.